Abstract
The paper assesses the effect of interest rate on stock prices, with emphases on Ghana Stock Exchange; using monthly time series data from July 2007 to December 2019. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was employed to establish the stationarity properties of the data or otherwise. Using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation technique of Multiple Regression, the results (β = – 0.891, p < 0.05) revealed an indirect association between interest rates and stock prices in the Ghanaian context; which is consistent with the theoretical conclusion that an increase in interest rate results in a decrease in stock prices. Thus, in the light of this finding, it was recommended that policymakers should consider the stock market dynamics due to the significant relationship that exists between the two macroeconomic variables.
Keywords
- Interest Rates Search this journal for Interest Rates (opens in a new tab)
- Stock Prices Search this journal for Stock Prices (opens in a new tab)
- Ordinary Least Squares Search this journal for Ordinary Least Squares (opens in a new tab)
- Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Search this journal for Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test (opens in a new tab)
- Ghana Search this journal for Ghana (opens in a new tab)
References
- Abugri, B. A. (2008). Empirical relationship between Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Returns: Evidence from Latin American market. International Review of Financial Analysis , 17(2), 396–410.
- Adam, A. M. & Tweneboah, G. (2008). Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market Movement: Evidence from Ghana.
- Alam, M. & Uddin, G. S. (2009). Relationship between Interest Rate and Stock Price: Empirical Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries, International Journal of Business and Management , 4(3), 43-51.
- Al-Sharkas, A. (2004). The Dynamic Relationship between Macroeconomic Factors and the Jordanian Stock Market. International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies , (1-1), 97-114.
- Choi, D. & Jen, F. C. (1991). The Relation between Stock Returns and Short-Term Interest Rates . Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting , (1), 75-89.
- Flannery, M. J. & James, C. M. (1984). The Effect of Interest Rate Changes on the Common Stock Returns of Financial Institutions, Journal of Finance, (39), 1141-l154.
- Flannery, M. J. & Protopapadakis, A. A. (2001). Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns.
- Gan, C., Lee, M., Yong, H. H. A. & Jun, Z. (2006). Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Interactions: New Zealand Evidence, Investment Management and Financial Innovations , 3(4), 89.
- Geske, R. & Roll, R. (1983). The Monetary and Fiscal Linkage between Stock Returns and Inflation, Journal of Finance , 38, 1–33.
- Humpe, A. & Macmillan, P. (2007). Can Macroeconomic Variables Explain Long-Term Stock Market Movements? A comparison of the US and Japan, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, Working Paper Series.
- Ioannidis, C. & Kontonikas, A. (2008). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Stock Prices. The University of Glasgow, University of Bath, UK.
- Kandir, S. Y. (2008). Macroeconomic Variables, Firm Characteristics and Stock Returns: Evidence from Turkey. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 16.
- Kganyago, T. & Gumbo, V. (2015). An Empirical Study of the Relationship between Money Market Interest Rates and Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Zimbabwe (2009-2013). International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues , 5(3).
- Liu, M. H. & Shrestha, K. M. (2008). Analysis of the long-term relationship between macro-economic variables and the Chinese stock market using heteroscedastic cointegration. Managerial Finance , 34(11), 744755.
- Madura, J. & Schnusenberg, O. (2000). Effect of Federal Reserve policies on bank equity returns. Journal of Financial Research , 23(4), 421-47.
- Maysami, R. C., Howe, L. C. & Hamzah, M. A. (2004). Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Indices: Cointegration Evidence from Stock Exchange of Singapore’s All-S Sector Indices. Journal Pengurusan , 24, 47-77.
- Muradoglu, G., Metin, K. & Argac, R. (2001). Is there a long-run relationship between stock returns and monetary variables: evidence from an emerging market, Applied Financial Economics , 11, 641-649.
- Nkoro, E. & Uko, A. K. (2013). A generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model of the impact of macroeconomic factors on stock returns: empirical evidence from the Nigerian stock market. International Journal of Financial Research , 4(4), 38.
- Nsama, M. & Mwaanga, C. (2017). The Relationship between Interest Rate and Stock Market Index in Zambia – A Cointegration Analysis. International Journal of Finance and Accounting 2017, 6(5), 154-158.
- Sellin, P. P. (2001). Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Theory and Empirical Evidence. Journal of Economic Surveys , 15(4), 491-541.
- Somoye, R. O., Akintoye, I. R. & Oseni, J. E. (2009). Determinants of Equity Price. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, (30).
- Stowe, J. D., Robinson, T. R., Pinto, J. E. & McLeavey, D. W. (2007). Equity Asset Valuation, New Jersey, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
- Teitey, E. (2019). Analysis of the Effect of Interest Rate on Stock Prices: A Case Study of Ghana Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, ISSN: 2326-9561.
- Tursoy, T., Gunsel, T. & Rjoub, H. (2008). Macroeconomic Factors, the APT and the Istanbul Stock Market. International Research Journal of Finance and 56 Economics, (22).
- Yildirtan, D. C. (2007). Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Istanbul Stock Exchange Indexes, the case of Turkish Stock Exchange Market.
Downloads
No downloads have been recorded for this article yet. Figures appear here once readers begin downloading the full text.
How to Cite
Share this article
License
Copyright (c) 2021 Peter Arhenful, Augustine Kwadwo Yeboah, Kofi Sarfo Adjei (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Author (s) should affirm that the material has not been published previously. It has not been submitted and it is not under consideration by any other journal. At the same time author (s) need to execute a publication permission agreement to assume the responsibility of the submitted content and any omissions and errors therein. After submission of revised paper in the light of suggestions of the reviewers, the editorial team edits and formats manuscripts to bring uniformity and standardization in published material.
This work will be licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) and under condition of the license, users are free to read, copy, remix, transform, redistribute, download, print, search or link to the full texts of articles and even build upon their work as long as they credit the author for the original work. Moreover, as per journal policy author (s) hold and retain copyrights without any restrictions.
Keywords
- Interest Rates Search this journal for Interest Rates (opens in a new tab)
- Stock Prices Search this journal for Stock Prices (opens in a new tab)
- Ordinary Least Squares Search this journal for Ordinary Least Squares (opens in a new tab)
- Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Search this journal for Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test (opens in a new tab)
- Ghana Search this journal for Ghana (opens in a new tab)
Section
Published in
Vol. 12 No. 1(S) (2021)
Governance, Youth & Economy in a Pandemic Era
View issue contents
Published
Submissions
Have research to publish? Journal of Social and Development Sciences welcomes submissions.
Make a Submission