Abstract
The aim of this paper is to investigate the return and volatility behaviors of the Turkish Stock Exchange in response to the mortgage crisis using daily observations for the period June 2004 to June 2014. The data are divided into three sub-periods to allow for the investigation of the behavior of the stock market during each sub-period. We employ the GARCH, EGARCH and GARCH-M models to capture volatility. The results indicate that the subprime crisis both induced a notable increase in volatility and changed the relationship between risk and expected return on the Turkish Stock Exchange.
Keywords
References
- Ait-Sahalia, Y., Andritzky, J., Jobst, A., Nowak, S. & Tamirisa, N. (2012). Market response to policy initiatives during the global financial crisis. Journal of International Economics , 87(1), 162-177.
- Aizenman, j., Jinjarak, Y., Minsoo, L. & Donghyun, P. (2015). Developing countries’ financial vulnerability to the eurozone crisis: an event study of equity and bond markets. Journal of Economic Policy Reform , DOI: 10.1080/17487870.2015.1018831
- Al-Rjoub, S. A. & Azzam, H. (2012). Financial crises, stock returns and volatility in an emerging stock market: the case of Jordan. Journal of Economic Studies , 39(2), 178-211.
- Arora, R. K., Das, H. & Jain, P. K. (2009). Stock returns and volatility: evidence from select emerging markets. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies , 12(04), 567-592.
- Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics , 31, 307-327
- Çağıl, G. & Okur, M. (2010). Küresel Krizinin İMKB Hisse Senedi Piyasası Üzerindeki Etkilerin in GARCH Modelleri İle Analizi. Marmara Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 28(1), 573-585.
- Celikkol, H., Akkoc, S. & Akarim, Y. D. (2010). The impact of bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on the volatility structure of ISE-100 price index. Journal of Money, Investment and Banking , 18, 5-12.
- Cheong, C. W., Lai, N. S., Yusof, N. A. M., Ying, K. C. & Fosee, L. (2012). The impact of subprime mortgage crisis to long-run and short-run volatility components of Indonesian and Malaysian equity markets. Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics , 15, 2-3,
- Chong, C. Y. (2011). Effect of subprime crisis on US stock market return and volatility. Glob.Econ.Financ. J, 4(1), 102-111.
- Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society , 3, 987-1007.
- Engle, R. F., Lilien, D. M. & Robins, R. P. (1987). Estimating time varying risk premia in the term structure: the ARCH-M model. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society , 2, 391-407.
- Galariotis, E. C., Rong, W. & Spyrou, S. I. (2015). Herding on fundamental information: A comparative study. Journal of Banking & Finance , 50, 589-598.
- Gammoudi, M. & Cherif, M. (2014). The global financial crisis and financial contagion in MENA stock markets. International Invention Journal of Arts and Social Science , 1(2), 26-40
- Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. The journal of finance , 48(5), 1779-1801.
- Guo, J. (2015). Causal relationship between stock returns and real economic growth in the pre-and postcrisis period: evidence from China. Applied Economics , 47(1), 12-31.
- Kim, J. S. & Ryu, D. (2015).Effect of the subprime mortgage crisis on a leading emerging market. Investment Analysts Journal , 44(1), 20-42.
- Koksal, B. & Orhan, M. (2013). Market risk of developed and emerging countries during the global financial crisis. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade , 49(3), 20-34.
- Longstaff, F. A. (2010). The subprime credit crisis and contagion in financial markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 436-450.
- Luchtenberg, K. F. & Vu, Q. V. (2015). The 2008 financial crisis: Stock market contagion and its determinants. Research in International Business and Finance , 33, 178-203.
- Majid, M. S. A. & Kassim, S. H. (2009).Impact of the 2007 US financial crisis on the emerging equity markets. International Journal of Emerging Markets , 4(4), 341-357.
- Mensi, W., Hammoudeh, S., Reboredo, J. C. & Nguyen, D. K. (2014). Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach. Emerging Markets Review , 19, 1-17.
- Michelfelder, R. A. & Pandya, S. (2005). Volatility of stock returns: emerging and mature markets. Managerial Finance , 31(2), 66-86.
- Nieh, C. C., Yang, C. H. & Kao, Y. S. (2012). Who has more influence on Asian stock markets around the subprime mortgage crisis–the US or China? Applied Economics Letters, 19(4), 329-335.
- Oh, G., Kim, H. Y., Ahn, S. W. & Kwak, W. (2015). Analyzing the financial crisis using the entropy density function. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications , 419, 464-469.
- Ramlall, I. (2010). Has the US subprime crisis accentuated volatility clustering and leverage effects in major international stock markets ? International Research Journal of Finance and Economics , 39, 157-185.
- Shalini, V. & Prasanna, K. (2015). Impact of the financial crisis on Indian commodity markets: Structural breaks and volatility dynamics. Energy Economics.
- Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The journal of finance , 19(3), 425-442.
- Singhania, M. & Anchalia, J. (2013).Volatility in Asian stock markets and global financial crisis. Journal of Advances in Management Research, 10(3), 333-351.
- Thao, T. P. & Daly, K. (2012).The Impacts of the Global Financial Crisis on Southeast Asian Equity Markets Integration. International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance , 3(4), 1-6.
- Vithessonthi, C. & Tongurai, J. (2015).The effect of firm size on the leverage–performance relationship during the financial crisis of 2007–2009. Journal of Multinational Financial Management , 29, 1- 29.
- Yan, C., Phylaktis, K. & Fuertes, A. M. (2015). On Cross-Border Bank Credit and the U.S. Subprime Crisis Transmission to Equity Markets (April 1, 2015). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2515720 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2515720
- Zhang, B., Li, X. & Yu, H. (2013). Has recent financial crisis changed permanently the correlations between BRICS and developed stock markets? The North American Journal of Economics and Finance , 26, 725-738.
Downloads
No downloads have been recorded for this article yet. Figures appear here once readers begin downloading the full text.
How to Cite
Share this article
License
Copyright (c) 2015 Taner Sekmen, Mercan Hatipoglu (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Author (s) should affirm that the material has not been published previously. It has not been submitted and it is not under consideration by any other journal. At the same time author (s) need to execute a publication permission agreement to assume the responsibility of the submitted content and any omissions and errors therein. After submission of revised paper in the light of suggestions of the reviewers, the editorial team edits and formats manuscripts to bring uniformity and standardization in published material.
This work will be licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) and under condition of the license, users are free to read, copy, remix, transform, redistribute, download, print, search or link to the full texts of articles and even build upon their work as long as they credit the author for the original work. Moreover, as per journal policy author (s) hold and retain copyrights without any restrictions.
Keywords
Section
Published
Submissions
Have research to publish? Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies welcomes submissions.
Make a Submission