Abstract
This study empirically examines the relation between the domestic fuel prices with the ten disaggregated economic sectors in Malaysia with the spanning of data from 1990:Q1 to 2007:Q4. We found that only three sectors (agriculture, trade and other services sectors) are cointegrated with the fuel price and fuel price does Granger cause these sectors. Despite the evidence of non-cointegrated in most of the economic sectors, fuel price able to influence these sectors over a longer period. Policy recommendation from this study includes the utilization of the renewable energy (RE) as a strategic plan is the long-term solution due to the high dependency and increasing demand of energy. While energy prices have experienced some correction in response to signs of slower global growth, sufficient government enforcement and support need to be established to facilitate successful renewable energy implementation in Malaysia.
Keywords
- Fuel Price Search this journal for Fuel Price (opens in a new tab)
- Economic Sector Search this journal for Economic Sector (opens in a new tab)
- Granger Causality Search this journal for Granger Causality (opens in a new tab)
- Renewable Energy Search this journal for Renewable Energy (opens in a new tab)
- Growth Search this journal for Growth (opens in a new tab)
References
- Abdul Jalil, N., Mat Ghani, G. & Duasa, J. (2009). Oil Prices and the Malaysia Economy. International Review of Business Research Papers, 5(4), 232–256.
- Bank Negara Malaysia. Monthly Statistical Bulletin, Various Issues, Bank Negara Malaysia.
- Bauer, P. W. & Byrne, S. M. (1991). The Sectoral and Regional Effects of Oil Shocks: Who’s Over a Barrel? Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Issue Jan 15.
- Bernanke, B. S. (1983). Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 98(1), 85–106.
- Brown, S. P. A. & Yucel, M. K. (2002). Energy Prices and Aggregate Economic Activity: An Interpretative Survey. The Quarterly Review of Economic and Finance, 42(2), 191–208.
- Chang, Y. & Wong, J. F. (2003). Oil Price Fluctuations and Singapore Economy. Energy Policy, 31(11), 1151–1165.
- Cunado, J. & de Gracia, F. (2003). Do Oil Price Shocks Matter? Evidence for Some European countries. Energy Economics, 25(2), 137–154.
- Cunado, J. & de Gracia, F. (2005). Oil Prices, Economic Activity and Inflation: Evidence for Some Asian Countries. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 45(1), 65–83.
- Elliott, G., Rothenberg, T. J., & Stock, J. H. (1996). Efficient Tests for an Autoregrssive Unit Root. Econometrica, 64(4), 813–836.
- EPU (Economic Planning Unit Malaysia) (2001). Eighth Malaysian Plan, 2001 – 2005, Percetakan Nasional Malaysia Berhad (PNMB).
- EPU (Economic Planning Unit Malaysia) (2006). Ninth Malaysia Plan, 2006-2010, Economic Planning Unit.
- Energy Information Administration. International Petroleum Monthly, Various Issues. Energy Information Administration.
- Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Cointegration and Error Correction Representation, Estimation and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276.
- Farzanegan, M. R., & Markwardt, G. (2009). The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy. Energy Economics, 31(1), 134–151.
- Ferderer, J. (1996). Oil Price Volatility and the Macro economy. Journal of Macroeconomics, 18(1), 1 – 26.
- Gisser, M., & Goodwin, T. H. (1986). Crude Oil and the Macro economy: Test of Some Popular Notions, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 18(1), 95–103.
- Gan, P. Y., & Li, Z. D. (2008). An Econometric Study on Long-Term Energy Outlook and the Implications of Renewable Energy Utilization in Malaysia. Energy Policy 36(2), 890–899.
- Gonzalo, J. (1994). Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long Run Equilibrium Relationships. Journal of Econometrics, 60(1-2), 203–233.
- Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Methods and Cross-Spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438.
- Granger, C. W. J. (1988). Some Recent Development in a Concept of Causality. Journal of Econometrics, 38(1-2), 199–211.
- Hall, S. G. (1991). The Effect of Varying Length VAR Models on the Maximum Likelihood Estimates of Cointegrating Vectors. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 38(4), 317–333.
- Hamilton, J. D. (1983). Oil and the Macro economy since World War II. Journal of Political Economy, 91(2), 228–248.
- Hamilton, J. D. (1988). A Neoclassical Model of Unemployment and the Business Cycle. Journal of Political Economy, 96(3), 593–617.
- Hamilton, J. D. (1996). This is What Happened to the Oil Price-Macro economy Relationship. Journal of Monetary Economics, 38(2), 215–220.
- Jiménez-Rodriguez, J. (2007). The Industrial Impact of Oil Price Shocks: Evidence from the Industries of Six OECD Countries 2007. Bank of Spain, Working Paper 0731.
- Jiménez-Rodriguez, J., & Sánchez, M. (2005). Oil Price Shock and Real GDP Growth: Empirical Evidence for Some OECD Countries. Applied Economics, 37(2), 201–228.
- Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum Likelihood Estimated and Inference on Cointegration with Application to the Demand for Money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), 169–210.
- Kim, I., & Loungani, P. (1992). The Role of Energy in Real Business Cycles Models. Journal of Monetary Economics, 29(2), 173–189.
- Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root. How Sure Are We that Economic Time Series Have a Unit Root? Journal of Econometrics, 54(1-3), 159–178.
- Lee, K. C., Pesaran, M. H., & Pierse, R. G. (1992). Persistence of Shocks and its Sources in Multisectoral Model of UK Output Growth. Economic Journal, 102(411), 342–356.
- Lee, K. C., & Pesaran, M. H. (1993). Persistence Profiles and Business Cycle Fluctuations via Disaggregate Model of UK Output Growth. Rierche Economiche, 47(3), 293–322.
- Lutkepohl, H. (1991). Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis, Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
- Masih, A. M. M., & Masih, R. (1994). On the Robustness of Cointegration Tests of the Market Efficiency Hypothesis: Evidence from Six European Foreign Exchange Markets. Economia Internazionale, 47(2-3), 160–180.
- Masih, A. M. M., & Masih, R. (1995). Investigating the Robustness of Tests of the Market Efficiency Hypothesis: Contributions from Cointegration Techniques on the Canadian Floating Dollar. Applied Financial Economics, 5(3), 139–150.
- Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs (2008). Kedudukan Harga Barang-Barang Kawalan yang Dikawal Harganya Secara Pentadbiran oleh Kerajaan.
- Mork, K. A. (1989). Oil and the Macro economy When Prices Go Up and Down: An Extension of Hamilton’s Results. Journal of Political Economy, 97 (3), 740–744.
- Narayan, P. K., & Narayan, S. (2007). Modeling Oil Price Volatility. Energy Policy, 35(12), 6549–6553.
- National Economic Action Council (2005). Oil Prices and Subsidies (An Explanation).
- Papapetrou, E. (2001). Oil Price Shocks, Stock Market, Economic Activity and Employment in Greece. Energy Economics, 23(5), 511–532.
- Phillips, P. C. B. (1991). Optimal Inference in Cointegrated Systems. Econometrica, 59(2), 283–306.
- Raguindin, M. C. E., & Reyes, R. G. (2005). The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Philippines Economy: A VAR Approach. Department of Economics, University of the Philippines.
- Saari, Y. M., Radam, A., & Abdullah, A. M. (2008). The Impacts of Increase in the Domestic Petroleum Prices on Cost of Production of Agricultural and Agro-Based Sectors. International Journal of Business and Society, 9(1), 37–52.
- Said, E. S., & Dickey, D. A. (1984). Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressive-Moving Average Models of Unknown Order. Biometrika, 71(3), 599–607.
- Schintke, J., Staglin, R., & Weib, J. P. (2000). Higher Import Prices for Oil, Natural Gas and Mineral Oil Products: The Potential Price Effects in Individual Sectors of German Industry. Economic Bulletin, 37(12), 387–394.
- Schwert, G. W. (1987). Effects of Model Specification on Tests for Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Data. Journal of Monetary Economics, 20(1), 73–103.
- Valadkhani, A., & Mitchell, W. F. (2001). Assessing the Impact of Changes in Petrol Prices on Inflation and Household Expenditures in Australia. Centre of Full Employment and Equity, Working Paper No. 01-01.
- Villar, J. A., & Joutz, F. L. (2006). The Relationship between Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices. Energy Information Administration, Office of Oil and Natural Gas, Washington D.C.
- Zind, R. G. (1999). Oil Price Movements and the Arabian Gulf Economies: A Sectoral Analysis. Resources Policy, 25(1), 59–67.
Downloads
No downloads have been recorded for this article yet. Figures appear here once readers begin downloading the full text.
How to Cite
Share this article
License
Author (s) should affirm that the material has not been published previously. It has not been submitted and it is not under consideration by any other journal. At the same time author (s) need to execute a publication permission agreement to assume the responsibility of the submitted content and any omissions and errors therein. After submission of revised paper in the light of suggestions of the reviewers, the editorial team edits and formats manuscripts to bring uniformity and standardization in published material.
This work will be licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) and under condition of the license, users are free to read, copy, remix, transform, redistribute, download, print, search or link to the full texts of articles and even build upon their work as long as they credit the author for the original work. Moreover, as per journal policy author (s) hold and retain copyrights without any restrictions.
Keywords
- Fuel Price Search this journal for Fuel Price (opens in a new tab)
- Economic Sector Search this journal for Economic Sector (opens in a new tab)
- Granger Causality Search this journal for Granger Causality (opens in a new tab)
- Renewable Energy Search this journal for Renewable Energy (opens in a new tab)
- Growth Search this journal for Growth (opens in a new tab)
Section
Published
Submissions
Have research to publish? Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies welcomes submissions.
Make a Submission