Abstract
This paper examines the effects of fiscal policy shocks on private consumption in Nigeria. Albeit, there is a considerable number of works examining the effects of fiscal policy shocks on private consumption globally but in Nigeria, no study has used the structural VAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002) as used in this paper. This approach relies on institutional information about the tax and transfer systems and the timing of tax collection to identify the automatic response of taxes and spending to private consumption as well as to infer fiscal shocks. The key result of this paper is that positive government spending shocks in Nigeria have an instantaneous negative effect on private consumption. The effect becomes significant in the period following the shock. Also, positive tax shocks have a negative effect on private consumption in the period of a shock and the effect becomes statistically insignificant afterwards. On this premises, one-off changes in government spending and taxes in Nigeria are long-lived and short-lived respectively. Thus, the government expenditure changes can be used to support private consumption in the long-run while that of taxes can only be used to support private consumption for a short period.
Keywords
- Fiscal Policy Search this journal for Fiscal Policy (opens in a new tab)
- Government Spending Search this journal for Government Spending (opens in a new tab)
- Net Taxes Search this journal for Net Taxes (opens in a new tab)
- Blanchard-Perotti (2002) Search this journal for Blanchard-Perotti (2002) (opens in a new tab)
- Structural Vector Autoregressive Search this journal for Structural Vector Autoregressive (opens in a new tab)
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Keywords
- Fiscal Policy Search this journal for Fiscal Policy (opens in a new tab)
- Government Spending Search this journal for Government Spending (opens in a new tab)
- Net Taxes Search this journal for Net Taxes (opens in a new tab)
- Blanchard-Perotti (2002) Search this journal for Blanchard-Perotti (2002) (opens in a new tab)
- Structural Vector Autoregressive Search this journal for Structural Vector Autoregressive (opens in a new tab)
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Vol. 7 No. 6(J) (2015)
Entrepreneurship, Finance & Behavioural Studies
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