Abstract
This study investigates the existence of chaos on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and studies three indices namely the FTSE/JSE All Share, FTSE/JSE Top 40 and FTSE/JSE Small Cap. Building upon the Fractal Market Hypothesis to provide evidence on the behavior of returns time series of the above mentioned indices, the BDS test is applied to test for non-random chaotic dynamics and further applies the rescaled range analysis to ascertain randomness, persistence or mean reversion on the JSE. The BDS test shows that all the indices examined in this study do not exhibit randomness. The FTSE/JSE All Share Index and the FTSE/JSE Top 40 exhibit slight reversion to the mean whereas the FTSE/JSE Small Cap exhibits significant persistence and appears to be less risky relative to the FTSE/JSE All Share and FTSE/JSE Top 40contrary to the assertion that small cap indices are riskier than large cap indices.
Keywords
- Fractal Market Hypothesis Search this journal for Fractal Market Hypothesis (opens in a new tab)
- Efficient Market Hypothesis Search this journal for Efficient Market Hypothesis (opens in a new tab)
- Chaos Theory Search this journal for Chaos Theory (opens in a new tab)
- Rescaled Range Analysis Search this journal for Rescaled Range Analysis (opens in a new tab)
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Copyright (c) 2016 Prince Kwasi Sarpong, Mabutho Sibanda, Merle Holden (Author)
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Keywords
- Fractal Market Hypothesis Search this journal for Fractal Market Hypothesis (opens in a new tab)
- Efficient Market Hypothesis Search this journal for Efficient Market Hypothesis (opens in a new tab)
- Chaos Theory Search this journal for Chaos Theory (opens in a new tab)
- Rescaled Range Analysis Search this journal for Rescaled Range Analysis (opens in a new tab)
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Vol. 8 No. 5(J) (2016)
Digital Relationships, Capital Markets & Enterprise Policy
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